Climate System

Climate intelligence

We help institutions understand how weather and climate affect what they manage, and act on it. We monitor present conditions, analyse the historical record to understand variability, extremes and trends, and produce calibrated forecasts and projections for the thresholds that matter to each client — floods, droughts, lightning, heat and cold waves, storm surges and coastal flooding, among others.

Monitoring and historical diagnostics

Real-time monitoring of key variables, and analysis of past events — frequency, severity, return periods, trends and attribution — to establish the baseline every decision needs.

Weather and intraseasonal forecasting

Calibrated probabilistic forecasts of precipitation, temperature, wind, cloud cover, solar radiation, soil moisture, ocean currents and other variables, from days to weeks ahead.

Seasonal forecasting

Probabilistic outlooks for the coming months, built and verified for each client’s variable, location and season.

Interannual forecasting

Outlooks one to five years ahead for planning and early action, including temperature, precipitation, lightning, vegetation indices and sea level.

Storm tracking and forecasting

Monitoring and forecasting of storms and lightning, and of the onset and end of rainy seasons, for operations, infrastructure and disaster preparedness.

Forensic meteorology

Independent reconstruction and attribution of past weather and climate events to support legal, insurance and investigative processes.

Climate projections (climate change and natural variability)

High-resolution scenarios that combine climate change with natural variability, for adaptation planning, infrastructure and investment decisions — including national scenarios produced for ministries of environment.